Crypto.com, PYMNTS Team Up on First AI Event Contracts
Crypto.com and PYMNTS Launch First-Ever AI Event Contracts
Crypto.com and PYMNTS Intelligence — the data and research arm of the payments-focused news outlet PYMNTS — have announced a new partnership to create what they describe as the first event contracts focused specifically on artificial intelligence (AI) adoption and deployment. The new products, called “AI Predictions Market Contracts,” are expected to go live on Crypto.com’s OG Prediction Markets, the company’s in-house yes/no exchange, in September.
What’s Launching and When
The initial rollout will include 20 event contracts, with plans to add another 25 each quarter as the partnership expands. According to the companies, the goal is to measure new technologies, industries, and business applications of AI as they emerge.
The contracts are designed to give companies and traders — including professional investors — new tools to act on trends in AI adoption. Instead of relying on indirect signals like semiconductor demand, cloud infrastructure spending, or tech company earnings, the firms say their approach is more direct.
“The PYMNTS proprietary system measures AI adoption directly through continuously refreshed primary research,” the companies said in a statement. “Those independently measured signals become the foundation for tradable contracts that allow market participants to express informed views on how AI adoption is evolving across industries and across the broader economy.”
Each contract will settle against independently measured changes in AI adoption, using rules-based metrics tied to the data.
Expanding Beyond Sports in the Prediction Market Space
Crypto.com has been a pioneer in the domestic prediction market industry. It entered the space in late 2024 with a push centered on the NFL playoffs and the Super Bowl. The new partnership with PYMNTS Intelligence marks a major step beyond sports, strengthening Crypto.com’s non-sports offerings and its appeal to professional market participants — an audience that has become increasingly important to the prediction market ecosystem.
The timing of the launch could be significant. AI adoption and deployment are expanding rapidly, but professional traders and investors have had limited ways to express their views on those trends. Historically, the main options were investments in technology companies or related funds. The Crypto.com-PYMNTS contracts offer a new alternative, supported by regularly updated data.
“Fresh consumer, enterprise, and corporate measurements are collected every month and quarter, continuously refreshing the market, ensuring every settlement reflects current changes in AI adoption rather than historical averages or one-time events,” the companies added.
How the AI Event Contracts Work
For prospective traders, understanding the mechanics of these AI-based event contracts is straightforward. The derivatives will be backed by three distinct measurement sources:
- Consumer behavior — refreshed monthly
- Corporate deployment — updated quarterly
- Company and broader market disclosures — updated quarterly
The corporate deployment category may be especially attractive to traders who already hold traditional positions in AI-focused companies. It looks directly at how organizations are integrating AI into their operations.
According to the press release, the metric measures how organizations deploy AI, including production agents, workflow automation, realized productivity gains, software replacement, and business outcomes. That data is gathered through a nationally representative study of 500 U.S. enterprises, along with input from executives responsible for AI strategy and investment.
By tying tradable contracts to these direct, regularly refreshed measurements, Crypto.com and PYMNTS aim to give market participants a clearer, more current view of how AI adoption is unfolding across industries — and a practical way to trade on it.
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